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Days · the daily box score

One settled day, city by city.

Every settled day of Kalshi's temperature ladders, kept: in each city, the bracket that paid, what the price said a day out, what the station's reading ruled out, and when the day was decided. A record, not advice.

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Ladders settled
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Ruled out
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Ruled out, paid anyway
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Decided before the close
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Decided, median
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Winner's price a day out
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Every city that day

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Times are the city's own clock. A day is decided at the earlier of two moments: the eventual winner's first read at a midpoint of 90% or more, or the station's reading ruling out the last of its rivals. Under 20 settled brackets a day is shown, muted, and not read.

Every settled day

One page a day, from the robot's first read on 2026-09-18. The link of each day keeps its date, so a day can be cited as it was.

How it is measured

A settled day. Each city has two ladders a market day, its daily high and its daily low: a set of brackets of which exactly one settles Yes on Kalshi's result. A ladder is on this page once every bracket of it has settled; a day is on it once any ladder has. Market dates are each city's own date.

Paid is the bracket that settled Yes, labelled in Kalshi's own terms as the board labels it: 63–64° for a bracket, <63° for the tail under the ladder and >70° for the tail over it.

The price a day out is the winner's midpoint 24 hours before the close, as the calibration reads keep it, shown only as a band: under 10c, 10–50c, 50–90c, or 90c and up. "One-sided" marks a read with no bid or no ask resting; "no read" a winner the robot had no read of within the ninety minutes before that moment. No exact price is published.

Ruled out counts the brackets the station's confirmed reading had cleared by a full degree before the close: the dead call. Kalshi settles each market on its own source, which may not be this station's observations, so a ruled-out bracket that paid is marked a miss and counted, not hidden (settlement).

Decided is the earlier of two moments, each counted only when it came before the close: the first read on which the eventual winner's midpoint was 90% or more (by the price), and the read on which the station's reading ruled out the last of its rivals (by the station), the second only when every rival was ruled out and the winner itself was not. The station's reading can only rule out the brackets under its running high (over its running low), so the station moment can come only when the tail over or under the ladder pays and the reading has cleared every bracket of it. The close is Kalshi's close time, midnight local standard time at the end of the market day. A ladder the robot first read after its day had begun (every ladder of 2026-09-18) is marked: its first read at 90% may only be the robot's first read.

Not read. Under 20 settled brackets a day is shown, muted, and not read. These are measurements of the price and of the weather's timing, not advice on any contract; no money figure appears here.

Where these numbers come from
Each part of the page, the public view it reads, and how often that view changes
PartRead fromRefreshed
The day's tiles, the list of daysday_totals: per market day, counts and the median, over the settled ladderson every read; the tables under it every 15 minutes
Every city that dayday_ladders: per settled ladder, from the permanent bracket table, Kalshi's results and the calibration readson every read; the tables under it every 15 minutes

Both are defined in days_views.sql: counts, bands and times only. No bids, asks, sizes or per-bracket prices are published, and nothing here is offered as a download.